Comment entreprendre le virage 2.0 TENDANCES 2011 – Médias sociaux et Web 2.0
10 TENDANCES À SURVEILLER À TRAVERS LES MÉDIAS SOCIAUX ET LE WEB 2.0
Comme il fallait s’y attendre, les médias sociaux et le Web collaboratif prennent une place majeure dans le classement du numéro spécial du Courrier International : Slow ou fast? 100 tendances pour 2011. Parmi toutes les tendances annoncées par l’équipe du bookzine français, j’en ai retenu dix qui m’apparaissent plus particulièrement pertinentes dans le contexte actuel. Un palmarès Top 10 auquel j’ai rajouté deux tendances plus loufoques observées à travers la presse internationale, telles que relatées par le magazine. À prendre avec un certain grain de sel, ou une certaine pointe d’humour… Et, vous n’y apprendrez peut-être pas grand chose, surtout, si l’on considère que les principales tendances semblent revenir d’année en année.
1 – L’égocasting émergera définitivement en puissance
Dans un de ses récents bulletins, le CEFRIO soulignait la forte hausse de l’adoption du Web 2.0 avec près de 40 % des adultes québécois qui fréquente un site de réseautage social. Ce qu’il faut surtout noter c’est l’augmentation vertigineuse des podcasts de plus de 108 % par rapport à l’année dernière. Avec YouTube qui vient d’annoncer avoir franchi le cap des 2 milliards de clips visionnés par jour, les contenus générés par les utilisateurs et l’égocasting continueront d’occuper une place prépondérante dans l’écosystème des médias sociaux. D’autant plus qu’avec l’émergence des téléphones intelligents, des lecteurs portables et des tablettes numériques les utilisateurs voudront continuer d’alimenter leurs contenus. Dans son numéro spécial, le Courrier International reprend un extrait du New York Times, de Manohla Dargis, qui relève aussi cette tendance des cinéastes indépendants à utiliser le Web pour se rapprocher de leur clientèle : Distribuer soi-même son film (4)
2 – Le Web 2.0 continuera de dominer la scène
Pendant toute l’année, les réseaux sociaux vont continuer d’occuper une part très importante dans la mouvance vers le Web 2.0. Pendant que Facebook claironne avoir dépassé Google comme source d’information auprès des internautes, le quotidien britannique Financial Times publie les résultats d’une étude réalisée par la société Hitwise. Une étude qui démontre effectivement que le nombre d’internautes qui visitent les sites d’information américains depuis les réseaux sociaux est plus élevé que ceux qui le font via un agrégateur de contenus comme Google Actualités. Mais, Google n’a certainement pas dit son dernier mot… Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International : S’informer en société (70)
3 – L’identité numérique demeurera un enjeu majeur
Face aux controverses soulevées par leurs mesures défaillantes de sécurité des informations, plus de 30 000 abonnés de Facebook ont récemment fermés leur compte. Et, après quelques temps, la plupart des usagers de Twitter continuent de se désintéresser. Selon The American Prospect, Tumblr représente peut-être le site alternatif qui pourrait damer le pion aux deux géants : il permet de poster du texte, des photos, de la vidéo, de la musique, des liens, tout en préservant l’anonymat. De plus sa fonction de micro-blog ne se limite pas à 140 caractères contrairement à Twitter. Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International : Ouvrir un tumblelog (85)
4 – La réorganisation du travail par les médias sociaux va primer
Les médias sociaux connaissent une popularité sans cesse grandissante, et après les entreprises, c’est au tour des organisations et des gouvernances de vouloir prendre le virage 2.0. À tous les niveaux, on cherche à réorganiser les processus de travail à travers l’utilisation des médias sociaux. Après le succès d’Obama sur Twitter durant la campagne électorale, tous les politiciens espèrent trouver le moyen de l’imiter. Avec toute la pression qu’exerce le président Dimitri Medvedev sur la bureaucratie russe pour qu’ils adoptent les nouveaux outils du Web 2.0, cette tendance va aussi continuer de s’étendre dans les sénats. Et, de plus d’organisations se tourneront vers de la formation en médias sociaux pour mieux comprendre les rouages des médias sociaux avant de s’y plonger. Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International, un extrait de l’article de Alexeï Eriomenko dans le Gazeta.RU : Entrer dans l’ère d’Internet de gré ou de force (62)
5 – Le Speed Dating Resources et Chatroulette feront encore plus d’adeptes en RH
Dans un autre article du New York Times, le journaliste Nick Bilton insiste beaucoup sur le phénomène de Chatroulette, ce nouveau réseau social, créé par un jeune russe de 17 ans du nom d’Andrei Ternovski. Un monde où vous vous retrouvez connecté par webcam à une série d’inconnus triés au hasard dans le monde entier. Comme il n’y a pas d’identifiants, ni d’enregistrement, le Chatroulette permet de naviguer relativement incognito ce qui semble jouer beaucoup dans sa popularité. Récemment, la compagnie Altran s’est inspirée du phénomène pour lancer son Jobroulette. Il y a fortes chances que d’autres entreprises l’imitent… Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International : Surfer incognito sur le Web (58)
6 – Les géants du Web continueront de se faire la lutte pour se positionner
Alors qu’Apple a vendu 2 millions de iPad en moins de 60 jours, et que Steve Jobs annonce sur son Twitter que la compagnie d’en écouler 1 à toutes les 3 secondes, les marchés boursiers annoncent la société vient de dépasser Microsoft en terme de valeurs. Mais, à l’instar de Google et Facebook, le combat des titans va se poursuivre, et, peut-être, finalement rapporter aux utilisateurs. Après qu’on eut aussi annoncé que le iPad représentait un formidable gaspillage de matière non-recyclables, et que les employés qui travaillent dans les usines de Taïwan pour fabriquer les iPhone se suicident à un taux alarmant, on annonce enfin une bonne nouvelle : il sera dorénavant possible de recharger son téléphone intelligent à l’énergie solaire… Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International : Recharger son téléphone au soleil (36)
7 – L’intelligence collective se trouvera au centre des enjeux des grandes sociétés
Le magazine britannique Wallpaper s’est enthousiasmé par le Gapminder.com, un site qui recense des volumes de données astronomiques pour les convertir en statistiques. L’extrait repris par l’équipe du Courrier International mentionne aussi que grâce au logiciel Trendalyzer (racheté par Google pour l’outil Google Data Public Explorer lancé en mars 2010), les graphiques permettent de comprendre en un coup d’œil différents phénomènes à l’échelle planétaire. Comme Wikipedia (dixit Jimmy Wales en entrevue avec Branchez-Vous) ne semble pas avoir l’intention de s’orienter vers le web sémantique, ni de profiter de l’intelligence collective des utilisateurs, il faudra voir ce que réserve Google Wave. Dans le numéro spécial de Courrier International : Des statistiques intelligentes (91)
8 – Le SARC MARK et l’interrobang réinventeront la façon d’écrire sur le Web
Après l’arrobas (que vient d’ailleurs d’acquérir le MoMA de New-York) et les smileys, voici le Sarc Mark et l’interrobang qui font leur apparition dans la nouvelle ponctuation de l’ère numérique. Selon le Boston Globe, l’interrobang se situerait entre le point d’interrogation et d’exclamation, tandis que pour le quotidien britannique The Guardian, le Sarc Mark (une boucle avec un point au milieu) serait appelé à devenir le nouveau symbole pouvant marquer le sarcasme et l’ironie dans la ponctuation du Web. Même à Genève, le quotidien Le Temps souligne que la barre oblique (le slash) tend à remplacer le point virgule auprès des écrivains… Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International, on y consacre toute une page : Réinventer la ponctuation (88)
9 – La cyberdépendance fera son son entrée dans le DMS
Même si aujourd’hui, la portée des médias sociaux dépasse dorénavant celle de la pornographie sur Internet, la cyberdépendance continuera malgré tout de faire des ravages. Tandis que les jeux vidéo porno envahissent les centres commerciaux de Hô Chi Minh-Ville (VietNamNet Bridge), on se penche dorénavant sur l’étude de la science du web pour mieux comprendre les changements de comportements qui découlent de l’usage des médias socaiux. On ne parle plus désormais que de cyberdépendance sexuelle, mais de net compulsion, de surcharge informationnelle et d’addiction à l’ordi. Et en 2012, la cyberdépendance fera son entrée officielle dans le DMS (Diagnostic and Statistics Manual of Mental Disorders). Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International : Soigner son addiction au Web (100)
10 – Le mouvement slow tisse tranquillement sa toile
L’équipe du bookzine français a volontairement choisit de coiffer la couverture de son numéro spécial sur les tendances par le titre frappant : Slow ou fast?. Dans leur recensement au sujet du mouvement slow, ils relèvent d’abord un article de Dario Pappalardo, dans La Repubblica (Rome, où est né également le mouvement Slow Food), qui souligne le travail à contre-courant de la librairie en ligne Slowbookfarm. Mais l’équipe éditoriale va plus loin en relevant aussi d’autres observations intéressantes, dont celle du National Day of Unplugging qui s’est déroulée le 19 mars dernier à New York (New York Times), à l’initiative du collectif Reboot ; des professionnels des communications de confession juive. Dans le numéro spécial du Courrier International, plusieurs mentions : Le slow book part en guerre contre le best-seller (7), Ralentir le flux d’information (11), Déconnecter pour un jour (12))
- faire twitter son chien (69) (du Los Angeles Time)
- un téléphone qui reproduit vos gestes (86) (du Popular Science)
Dans mon prochain billet, qui continuera de s’inspirer de ce numéro spécial du Courriel International, je vous présenterai une nouvelle liste des 10 tendances à surveiller, cette fois-ci sous l’angle de la culture numérique. Bien sûr, il sera encore question d’egocasting, mais aussi de cinéma, de télévision et de web diffusion à l’ère numérique. Sans oublier le nouveau phénomène des e-books, des lecteurs portables et des magazines 3D. Mais, il sera également question de musique, d’humour, et même de peinture, de sculpture, d’architecture et d’arts populaires japonais. En prime, gracieuseté de l’équipe du bookzine français : les Steampunks de Londres, les romans-photos au Maroc et le musée de la cassette 8-pistes aux USA. Pour alimenter les discussions autour de la piscine, ou à la plage, en sirotant un caïpirinha (cachaça) brésilien ou un makkolli, un alcool de riz traditionnel à l’aspect laiteux servi en Corée…
Inspiré du numéro spécial avril-mai-juin 2010 Courrier International : Slow ou fast ? 100 tendances pour 2011 – Dépôt légal Avril 2010 ISSN 1 169 114X
Site Web : www.courrierinternational.com
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